Archive
2026 preseason predictions
Exhibition games are decided by backups and roster-bubble players, which is why most of these picks carried low confidence. They're kept here, graded, for the record.
Preseason record
All exhibition picks, graded the same way as the regular season
26/49
Winners called
53%
Hit rate
13.0
Avg margin miss (pts)
High
no picks
Medium
6/18 · 33%
Low
20/31 · 65%
Ties count as misses. Every pick is published before kickoff and never edited afterward.
Hall of Fame Weekend
1 game · 1/1 winners called
Thu, Aug 6 · Final
Called it Low
Panthers
54% to win
33-30
proj. 20-17
Cardinals
46% to win
Pick: Panthers Recap → Breakdown →
Preseason Week 1
16 games · 6/16 winners called
Thu, Aug 13 · Final
Missed Low
Lions
53% to win
14-16
proj. 20-17
Bengals
47% to win
Pick: Lions Recap → Breakdown →
Thu, Aug 13 · Final
Called it Low
Packers
41% to win
9-28
proj. 17-23
Steelers
59% to win
Pick: Steelers Recap → Breakdown →
Thu, Aug 13 · Final
Missed Low
Colts
45% to win
13-13
proj. 17-21
Patriots
55% to win
Pick: Patriots Recap → Breakdown →
Thu, Aug 13 · Final
Missed Medium
Chargers
38% to win
27-7
proj. 16-22
Texans
62% to win
Pick: Texans Recap → Breakdown →
Thu, Aug 13 · Final
Missed Low
Cardinals
44% to win
27-14
proj. 16-20
Raiders
56% to win
Pick: Raiders Recap → Breakdown →
Thu, Aug 13 · Final
Called it Medium
Titans
61% to win
19-13
proj. 23-17
49ers
39% to win
Pick: Titans Recap → Breakdown →
Fri, Aug 14 · Final
Called it Low
Buccaneers
56% to win
24-16
proj. 21-17
Jets
44% to win
Pick: Buccaneers Recap → Breakdown →
Fri, Aug 14 · Final
Called it Low
Dolphins
43% to win
7-20
proj. 16-20
Commanders
57% to win
Pick: Commanders Recap → Breakdown →
Fri, Aug 14 · Final
Missed Low
Broncos
42% to win
27-7
proj. 16-20
Falcons
58% to win
Pick: Falcons Recap → Breakdown →
Sat, Aug 15 · Final
Missed Medium
Vikings
44% to win
13-10
proj. 17-21
Giants
56% to win
Pick: Giants Recap → Breakdown →
Sat, Aug 15 · Final
Missed Medium
Panthers
58% to win
14-29
proj. 21-17
Bills
42% to win
Pick: Panthers Recap → Breakdown →
Sat, Aug 15 · Final
Called it Low
Browns
48% to win
10-34
proj. 17-20
Bears
52% to win
Pick: Bears Recap → Breakdown →
Sat, Aug 15 · Final
Missed Medium
Jaguars
35% to win
24-20
proj. 14-21
Saints
65% to win
Pick: Saints Recap → Breakdown →
Sat, Aug 15 · Final
Missed Medium
Rams
40% to win
20-12
proj. 17-23
Chiefs
60% to win
Pick: Chiefs Recap → Breakdown →
Sat, Aug 15 · Final
Called it Low
Eagles
43% to win
7-24
proj. 16-20
Ravens
57% to win
Pick: Ravens Recap → Breakdown →
Sat, Aug 15 · Final
Missed Low
Cowboys
42% to win
17-7
proj. 16-20
Seahawks
58% to win
Pick: Seahawks Recap → Breakdown →
Preseason Week 2
16 games · 11/16 winners called
Thu, Aug 20 · Final
Called it Low
Raiders
54% to win
22-20
proj. 21-17
Texans
46% to win
Pick: Raiders Recap → Breakdown →
Thu, Aug 20 · Final
Missed Medium
49ers
44% to win
41-17
proj. 16-20
Chargers
56% to win
Pick: Chargers Recap → Breakdown →
Fri, Aug 21 · Final
Missed Medium
Jets
42% to win
17-0
proj. 17-22
Steelers
58% to win
Pick: Steelers Recap → Breakdown →
Fri, Aug 21 · Final
Missed Medium
Panthers
40% to win
34-17
proj. 16-23
Jaguars
60% to win
Pick: Jaguars Recap → Breakdown →
Fri, Aug 21 · Final
Called it Low
Packers
55% to win
33-13
proj. 21-17
Broncos
45% to win
Pick: Packers Recap → Breakdown →
Sat, Aug 22 · Final
Called it Low
Commanders
43% to win
13-17
proj. 16-21
Lions
57% to win
Pick: Lions Recap → Breakdown →
Sat, Aug 22 · Final
Called it Medium
Ravens
56% to win
13-3
proj. 21-17
Vikings
44% to win
Pick: Ravens Recap → Breakdown →
Sat, Aug 22 · Final
Called it Medium
Bills
60% to win
31-7
proj. 23-16
Browns
40% to win
Pick: Bills Recap → Breakdown →
Sat, Aug 22 · Final
Called it Low
Falcons
53% to win
34-6
proj. 20-17
Colts
47% to win
Pick: Falcons Recap → Breakdown →
Sat, Aug 22 · Final
Called it Medium
Saints
42% to win
0-34
proj. 17-21
Rams
58% to win
Pick: Rams Recap → Breakdown →
Sat, Aug 22 · Final
Called it Low
Giants
55% to win
26-3
proj. 21-17
Dolphins
45% to win
Pick: Giants Recap → Breakdown →
Sat, Aug 22 · Final
Missed Medium
Bears
56% to win
9-27
proj. 22-17
Bengals
44% to win
Pick: Bears Recap → Breakdown →
Sat, Aug 22 · Final
Called it Low
Eagles
45% to win
21-24
proj. 17-20
Patriots
55% to win
Pick: Patriots Recap → Breakdown →
Sat, Aug 22 · Final
Called it Medium
Chiefs
35% to win
15-16
proj. 16-24
Buccaneers
65% to win
Pick: Buccaneers Recap → Breakdown →
Sat, Aug 22 · Final
Missed Low
Cowboys
47% to win
34-13
proj. 16-20
Cardinals
53% to win
Pick: Cardinals Recap → Breakdown →
Sun, Aug 23 · Final
Called it Low
Seahawks
45% to win
16-19
proj. 17-20
Titans
55% to win
Pick: Titans Recap → Breakdown →
Preseason Week 3
16 games · 8/16 winners called
Thu, Aug 27 · Final
Called it Low
Steelers
44% to win
27-28
proj. 16-20
Bills
56% to win
Pick: Bills Recap → Breakdown →
Thu, Aug 27 · Final
Missed Low
Patriots
53% to win
13-37
proj. 20-17
Browns
47% to win
Pick: Patriots Recap → Breakdown →
Thu, Aug 27 · Final
Missed Medium
49ers
42% to win
18-12
proj. 16-21
Raiders
58% to win
Pick: Raiders Recap → Breakdown →
Thu, Aug 27 · Final
Called it Low
Rams
54% to win
20-18
proj. 20-17
Chargers
46% to win
Pick: Rams Recap → Breakdown →
Fri, Aug 28 · Final
Called it Low
Commanders
42% to win
3-41
proj. 16-20
Ravens
58% to win
Pick: Ravens Recap → Breakdown →
Fri, Aug 28 · Final
Called it Medium
Falcons
56% to win
17-12
proj. 21-17
Dolphins
44% to win
Pick: Falcons Recap → Breakdown →
Fri, Aug 28 · Final
Missed Low
Texans
55% to win
13-16
proj. 20-17
Panthers
45% to win
Pick: Texans Recap → Breakdown →
Fri, Aug 28 · Final
Called it Low
Giants
54% to win
23-6
proj. 20-17
Jets
46% to win
Pick: Giants Recap → Breakdown →
Fri, Aug 28 · Final
Called it Low
Buccaneers
45% to win
0-19
proj. 17-20
Jaguars
55% to win
Pick: Jaguars Recap → Breakdown →
Fri, Aug 28 · Final
Missed Medium
Bengals
38% to win
30-13
proj. 13-20
Eagles
62% to win
Pick: Eagles Recap → Breakdown →
Fri, Aug 28 · Final
Missed Medium
Seahawks
42% to win
9-9
proj. 16-20
Chiefs
58% to win
Pick: Chiefs Recap → Breakdown →
Fri, Aug 28 · Final
Missed Low
Saints
46% to win
27-24
proj. 17-20
Cowboys
54% to win
Pick: Cowboys Recap → Breakdown →
Fri, Aug 28 · Final
Called it Low
Cardinals
43% to win
38-42
proj. 16-20
Packers
57% to win
Pick: Packers Recap → Breakdown →
Fri, Aug 28 · Final
Called it Low
Vikings
42% to win
6-34
proj. 16-20
Broncos
58% to win
Pick: Broncos Recap → Breakdown →
Sat, Aug 29 · Final
Missed Low
Lions
45% to win
25-16
proj. 17-20
Colts
55% to win
Pick: Colts Recap → Breakdown →
Sat, Aug 29 · Final
Missed Low
Bears
55% to win
24-15
proj. 20-17
Titans
45% to win
Pick: Titans Recap → Breakdown →