NFL 2026
Week 4 · Sunday, October 4, 2026 · Raymond James Stadium · 61,467 attended
Game Recap

Packers Edge Buccaneers 17-14 in Week 4

Green Bay Packers 17, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14 at Raymond James Stadium. Jordan Love went 22 of 30 for 197 yards with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

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Quarter Scoring

Team Q1Q2Q3Q4 Total
Packers
01070 17
Buccaneers
0707 14

Buccaneers Leaders

Passing Yards
Jalon Daniels
19/27, 148 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
Rushing Yards
Bucky Irving
16 CAR, 61 YDS
Receiving Yards
Cade Otton
4 REC, 37 YDS
Sacks
-

Packers Leaders

Passing Yards
Jordan Love
22/30, 197 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
Rushing Yards
Kaleb Johnson
8 CAR, 42 YDS
Receiving Yards
Christian Watson
3 REC, 47 YDS

Team Stats

Packers Stat Buccaneers
15 1st Downs 19
9 Passing 1st downs 10
4 Rushing 1st downs 8
2 1st downs from penalties 1
2-10 3rd down efficiency 5-12
3-3 4th down efficiency 2-3
55 Total Plays 61
283 Total Yards 275
5.1 Yards per Play 4.5
10 Total Drives 9
197 Passing 134
22/30 Comp/Att 19/27
6.6 Yards per pass 4.5
1 Interceptions thrown 2
0-0 Sacks-Yards Lost 3-14
86 Rushing 141
25 Rushing Attempts 31
3.4 Yards per rush 4.5
2-3 Red Zone (Made-Att) 2-2
10-68 Penalties 4-17
2 Turnovers 2
1 Fumbles lost 0
1 Interceptions thrown 2
0 Defensive / Special Teams TDs 0
30:10 Possession 29:50

Scoring Plays

5 scores
Q2 12:54
Matthew Golden 2 Yd pass from Jordan Love (Trey Smack Kick)
7–0
Q2 5:13
Sean Tucker 2 Yd Rush (Chase McLaughlin Kick)
7–7
Q2 0:00
Trey Smack 58 Yd Field Goal
10–7
Q3 10:32
Tucker Kraft 2 Yd pass from Jordan Love (Trey Smack Kick)
17–7
Q4 14:49
Kenny Gainwell 10 Yd pass from Jalon Daniels (Chase McLaughlin Kick)
17–14

Week 4: Packers Visit Winless Buccaneers With Mayfield's Thumb in Question

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The Green Bay Packers visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday, October 4. Tampa Bay is 0-3 after a 23-16 loss to Minnesota in which it went 2 of 17 on third down and Baker Mayfield missed the final drive with a thumb injury; the team has not announced his status. Green Bay is 1-2 after a 35-14 home loss to Atlanta in which it allowed 498 yards, 194 of them on the ground to Bijan Robinson, and Jordan Love threw 53 passes. Thursday update: Mayfield is out at least three weeks with a dislocated thumb and undrafted rookie Jalon Daniels will start. Friday update: Tampa Bay placed Jalen McMillan on injured reserve.

Mayfield's thumb

He missed the last possession against Minnesota and his status is unresolved.

Green Bay's defense

Four hundred ninety-eight yards allowed to a team that had scored 16 points in two games.

Tampa Bay at 0-3

Three losses by a combined 17 points.

Pregame AI Prediction

Winner called correctly Confidence: Medium

How the prediction did

Predicted 24-16 (Packers vs Buccaneers), final was 17-14. Right winner, with the margin off by 5. The Thursday update moved this from 52 to 62 percent after Baker Mayfield was ruled out, and the model stopped short of High because of its record against backup quarterbacks. That caution was warranted: undrafted rookie Jalon Daniels went 19 of 27 and Tampa Bay scored late to make it a field-goal game. Green Bay lost Edgerrin Cooper to an Achilles injury.

Packers
24
62% to win
VS
Buccaneers
16
38% to win
Packers 62% Buccaneers 38%

Tampa Bay starts an undrafted rookie

Mayfield is out at least three weeks, Jalon Daniels makes his first NFL start, and receiver Jalen McMillan is out six to eight weeks.

Green Bay has had ten days

The Packers played Thursday and have extra time to fix a run defense that gave up 194 yards to one back.

Tampa Bay's losses have been close

Six, four and seven points, at home in a game it has to win.

Updated Thursday: this opened as a 52 percent Green Bay lean pending Mayfield's thumb. With Mayfield ruled out and Jalon Daniels starting, it moves to 62 percent and Medium confidence. The model's three worst misses this season came from underrating a replacement quarterback, so it stops short of High.

Venue

Raymond James Stadium
Tampa, FL
Attendance: 61,467

Closing Line

GB -2.5
O/U 38.5
via DraftKings

Officials

Rusty Baynes Line Judge
Sean Petty Field Judge
Scott Helverson Back Judge
Jim Quirk Side Judge
Alex Kemp Referee

Futures odds for these teams

Super Bowl futures, win totals & where to bet

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Buccaneers Injuries

Emeka Egbuka
WR · Not Specified
Questionable
Yaya Diaby
LB · Sprain
Out
Josh Hayes
CB · Surgery
Injured Reserve
Christian Rozeboom
LB · Not Specified
Injured Reserve
Jalen McMillan
WR · Sprain
Injured Reserve

Packers Injuries

Sean Rhyan
G · Sprain
Questionable
Zaire Franklin
LB · Fracture
Questionable
Travis Glover
OT · Not Specified
Questionable
Christian Watson
WR · Fracture
Questionable
Micah Parsons
DE · Surgery
Out