Week 1: Harbaugh's Giants Debut Against Cowboys on Sunday Night
The Dallas Cowboys visit the New York Giants on Sunday night, September 13, in John Harbaugh's first game as Giants head coach. Jaxson Dart starts after sitting out the entire preseason by Harbaugh's choice, with Malik Nabers cleared for contact but still listed as questionable in his return from a torn ACL and Tyrone Tracy Jr. also questionable. Dallas has Dak Prescott behind a line that just added Broderick Jones to compete at right tackle but loses three-time Pro Bowl guard Tyler Smith to injured reserve after thumb surgery, with T.J. Bass starting at left guard, and a defense that allowed a league-worst 30.1 points per game last year now run by Christian Parker, the youngest coordinator in team history, with Rashan Gary added on the edge.
Nabers' status is the game's biggest variable
He practiced without the non-contact jersey this week but would not commit to playing, and the Giants' passing game looks very different without him.
Dart with no preseason snaps
Harbaugh held Dart out of all three exhibition games, so his first live reps in Matt Nagy's offense come on Sunday Night Football.
Dallas' defense is starting over
Parker replaces Matt Eberflus after the Cowboys' worst scoring defense in the league. Gary and safety Jalen Thompson are the notable additions.
AI Prediction
Cowboys 
Giants Prescott and a settled offense against a debuting staff
Dallas' offense returns its core intact, while New York installs a new scheme with a quarterback who did not play in the preseason.
Dallas' defense gives every opponent a chance
Until Parker's unit proves otherwise, a 30-point-per-game defense makes the Cowboys hard to trust by more than a field goal.
New York won the last meeting
The Giants beat Dallas 34-17 in Week 18 with Dart starting, and a full Nabers would tilt this projection toward a coin flip.
A narrow lean on Dallas' continuity. If Nabers is active and healthy, the model's edge mostly disappears.
Giants Leaders
Cowboys Leaders
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Giants Injuries